M

Question

Will there be ≥ 100 deaths due to conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2030?

Resolved :Yes
Total Forecasters286
Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-0.3
Community Peer Score
0.5
median 99.0%mean 94.6%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%


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