Question

What will be the number of conflicts with significant impacts on U.S. interests by 2023?

Resolved:11
Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction
12.9
(11.6 - 14.7)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%11.56
median12.93
upper 75%14.67

What was the final result?11

Community Baseline Score
70.4
Community Peer Score
13.3
Authors:
Opened:Oct 12, 2021
Closes:Mar 3, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 14, 2021