31 forecasters

In 2022, for any month where US core CPI inflation is more than 3 percent, will inflation be at most 3 percentage points higher than the three-month commercial paper interest rate?

44%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 44% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 16, 2021

Closes:

Feb 1, 2022

Resolved:

Feb 10, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 18, 2021