Question

In 2022, for any month where US core CPI inflation is more than 3 percent, will inflation be at most 3 percentage points higher than the three-month commercial paper interest rate?

Resolved:No

18 comments18

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction

44%

(40% - 46%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 44%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

12.2

Community Peer Score

11.1

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Sep 16, 2021

Closes:

Feb 1, 2022

Resolves:

Feb 10, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 18, 2021

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

45%

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

22%

What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months?

0.18