M

Question

How many at-risk Nigerian states will experience Islamic State attacks in the next six months?

Resolved :3
Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction
7.18
(4.73 - 11.1)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%4.729
median7.182
upper 75%11.15

What was the final result?3

Community Baseline Score
-96.2
Community Peer Score
22.7
Authors:
Opened:Sep 16, 2021
Closes:Dec 17, 2021
Resolves:Mar 24, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 18, 2021

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