Question
How many at-risk Nigerian states will experience Islamic State attacks from September 17, 2021 to September 17, 2022?
Resolved:9Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction
10.2
(9.08 - 11.4)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 9.08 | — |
| median | 10.2 | — |
| upper 75% | 11.4 | — |
What was the final result?9
Community Baseline Score
-9.0
Community Peer Score
31.1
Authors:
Opened:Sep 16, 2021
Closes:Sep 17, 2022
Resolves:Sep 18, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 18, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Sep 16, 2021
Closes:Sep 17, 2022
Resolves:Sep 18, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 18, 2021