180 forecasters

Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?

90%chance

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 90% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 21, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolved:

Dec 12, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 22, 2018