24 comments
180 forecasters
Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?
90%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 90% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 21, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolved:Dec 12, 2018
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 22, 2018
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
1% chance
801
If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?
17 Oct 2029
(01 Sep 2027 - 20 Nov 2029)
17 Oct 2029
(01 Sep 2027 - 20 Nov 2029)
19 forecasters
Will the Department of Justice indict a high-profile individual from the opposing party to the U.S. president in the following years?
5 forecasters