Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.


This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.


This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?


For the purposes of this question, we'll confine Trump's "inner circle" to the following people:

Note #1: Links go to articles related to potential criminal charges against individuals.

Note #2: Steve Bannon is included on the list, even though he and Trump have had a falling out, simply because of how influential he was earlier in the Presidency.

Will a judge sentence at least one of these people to a jail sentence by Jan 1., 2023?

Resolution is positive even if the person is pardoned, as long as the pardon comes after conviction. We will also count jail time assigned by a judge per contempt of court, etc., if any actual time in jail is spent.

Make a Prediction


Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.