Question
How many US Jews will move to Israel by 2050?
Total Forecasters7
Community Prediction
117k people
(91.9k people - 140k people)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <50k | 5.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 91.89k | — |
| median | 117.1k | — |
| upper 75% | 140.3k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >150k | 17.9% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Nov 3, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2052
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 5, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Nov 3, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2052
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 5, 2022