Question
Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?
Total Forecasters44
Community Prediction
29%
(8% - 50%)
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 4, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2060
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2125
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 6, 2021
If a global catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
10%
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
7%
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
23.9%
Authors:
Opened:Oct 4, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2060
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2125
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 6, 2021
If a global catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
10%
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
7%
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
23.9%