59 forecasters

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

67%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Jan 12, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 14, 2022

Trump tries to distance U.S. from Israel’s strike on Qatar amid fury from Arab leaders

PBS NewsHour•Sep 12, 2025

Israel’s strike on Qatar has infuriated Arab leaders. That bodes ill for Trump’s Mideast priorities

Associated Press•Sep 11, 2025

Israel has replaced Iran as the biggest security threat to the Gulf states | Sanam Vakil

Guardian•Sep 11, 2025

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