1 comment
38 forecasters
Will >2 countries offensively detonate nuclear weapons by 2024, if any offensive detonation of a country's nuclear weapon occurs by then?
20%chance
Annulled
The community gave this a 20% chance, and it resolved Annulled.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolved:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 9, 2021