15 comments
83 forecasters
If there's a nuclear conflict by 2024 that doesn't start between 2 of Russia, the US, and China, will 2 of those countries offensively detonate nuclear weapons by 2024?
3%chance
Annulled
The community gave this a 3% chance, and it resolved Annulled.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolved:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 9, 2021