191 forecasters

Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement?

0.1%chance

0.1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks TomL

Opened:

Oct 7, 2021

Closes:

Dec 30, 2023

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 9, 2021

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