Question

When will 256 bit ECC become insecure?

8

Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction

Feb 2047

(Nov 2034 - Jan 2062)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2100
community	Nov 2034	Feb 2047	Jan 2062	6.4%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Nov 2034	—
median	Feb 2047	—
upper 75%	Jan 2062	—
Upper bound
>2100	6.4%	—

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 23, 2021

Closes:

Mar 29, 2048

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 25, 2021

Computing and Math

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 23, 2021

Closes:

Mar 29, 2048

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 25, 2021

Computing and Math