Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
9
75
forecasters
2
9 comments
75 forecasters
Nuclear Risk Tournament
4 more...
How many nonstrategic nuclear weapons will be deployed at the end of 2023?
Follow
share
embed
community
111
result
100
Resolved
100
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (9)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
1 comment
37 forecasters
Total Nuclear Weapons >20,000 by 2030
2.5%
chance
2 comments
21 forecasters
Number of Nuclear Weapons 2075
Current estimate
6774 weapons
0 comments
53 forecasters
Total Nuclear Disarmament before 2075
1.5%
chance
5 comments
21 forecasters
Total Nuclear Yield >10,000 MT by 2029
17.6%
chance
11 comments
91 forecasters
Global Nuclear Warhead Stockpiles
0 comments
11 forecasters
What % of nuc. detonations will be NSNWs?
Current estimate
0.923%
5 comments
47 forecasters
Number of Nuclear Detonations by 2050
over 100
39%
over 1,000
9%
8 comments
101 forecasters
2030: Does China Have 1000 Nukes?
74%
chance