Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
9
comments
75
forecasters
How many nonstrategic nuclear weapons will be deployed at the end of 2023?
community
111
result
100
Share
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Question Info
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
Follow
embed
Authors:
TomL
Opened:
Oct 8, 2021
Closes:
Dec 30, 2023
Resolved:
Feb 16, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:
Oct 10, 2021
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Geopolitics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
News Match
Russia raises tensions with NATO as Putin shows off his battlefield nuclear weapons
Independent
•
Sep 16, 2025
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?
5%
chance
33
How many nuclear weapons will exist on January 1, 2075?
7282 weapons
(1074 - 44.7k)
7282 weapons
(1074 - 44.7k)
21
forecasters
Will the world be free from nuclear weapons at any point before 2075?
1.4%
chance
52
Show More Questions
