Question

How many confirmed deaths from COVID-19 will be reported in the US in 2022?

Resolved:261.381k
Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction
232k
(164k - 342k)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<50k1.4%
Quartiles
lower 25%163.9k
median232.4k
upper 75%341.9k
Upper bound
>2M1.1%

What was the final result?261.381k

Community Baseline Score
37.4
Community Peer Score
8.5
Authors:
Opened:Oct 20, 2021
Closes:Feb 15, 2022
Resolves:Feb 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 22, 2021