Question

How many confirmed deaths from COVID-19 will be reported in the US in 2022?

Resolved:261.381k

15 comments15

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction

232k

(164k - 342k)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	<50k	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2M
community	1.4%	163.9k	232.4k	341.9k	1.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<50k	1.4%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	163.9k	—
median	232.4k	—
upper 75%	341.9k	—
Upper bound
>2M	1.1%	—

What was the final result?261.381k

Community Peer Score

8.5

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Oct 20, 2021

Closes:

Feb 15, 2022

Resolves:

Feb 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 22, 2021

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

The U.S. is having its worst year of measles cases in more than three decades

PBS NewsHour•Jul 10, 2025

The U.S. is having its worst year for measles in more than three decades

CNBC•Jul 9, 2025

The US is having its worst year for measles in more than three decades

Associated Press•Jul 9, 2025

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