Question
In the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election, what will be the percentage difference of the vote for McAuliffe over Youngkin?
Resolved:-1.93Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction
0.27
(-1.64 - 2.52)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-10 | 0.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | -1.641 | — |
| median | 0.2704 | — |
| upper 75% | 2.519 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >10 | 1.2% | — |
What was the final result?-1.93
Community Baseline Score
-2.0
Community Peer Score
17.9
Authors:
Opened:Oct 21, 2021
Closes:Nov 2, 2021
Resolves:Nov 16, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 23, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Oct 21, 2021
Closes:Nov 2, 2021
Resolves:Nov 16, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 23, 2021
