Question

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a university?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters92

Community Prediction4%

Make a Prediction

community: 4%

median 4.0%mean 5.5%

Authors:

MaxR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Progress Essay Contest

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Philosophy

University of California, Berkeley

Artificial general intelligence

OpenAI

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

89%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

10%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a non-profit corporation?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MaxR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Progress Essay Contest

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Philosophy

University of California, Berkeley

Artificial general intelligence

OpenAI

Google’s Nobel prize winners stir debate over AI research

One America•Oct 10, 2024

AI is having its Nobel moment. Do scientists need the tech industry to sustain it?

Associated Press•Oct 11, 2024

Here's how Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei defines artificial general intelligence

Business Insider•Oct 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

89%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

10%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a non-profit corporation?

10%