Question
When will US office workplace occupancy reach >50% of pre-pandemic levels?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters34
Community Prediction
21 Dec 2022
(21 Oct 2022 - >28 Dec 2022)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 21 Oct 2022 | — |
| median | 21 Dec 2022 | — |
| upper 75% | >28 Dec 2022 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >28 Dec 2022 | 45.4% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Peer Score
30.6
Community Baseline Score
99.8
Authors:
Opened:Oct 21, 2021
Closes:Jan 16, 2022
Resolves:Jan 11, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 23, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
What will be the percentage of employed persons working at home on an average day in 2030?
34.8
Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?
7%
In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?
42.2%
Authors:
Opened:Oct 21, 2021
Closes:Jan 16, 2022
Resolves:Jan 11, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 23, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
What will be the percentage of employed persons working at home on an average day in 2030?
34.8
Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?
7%
In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?
42.2%