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35
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575
forecasters
Will there be a US-China war before 2035?
15%
chance
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Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
TomL
Opened:
Oct 28, 2021
Closes:
Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:
Oct 30, 2021
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
The Taiwan Tinderbox
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Nuclear Technology & Risks
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