Question

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

0
Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction
8%
(3% - 17%)

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50%
community: 8%
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Authors:
MetaculusOutlookshavlickova.blanka
Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2021
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks