M

Question

If there's a nuclear conflict involving >100 detonations, will that cause >1 billion fatalities within 10 years?

Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction60%

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50%
community: 60%
median 60.0%mean 58.2%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:

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