Question
If there's a nuclear conflict involving >100 detonations, will that cause >1 billion fatalities within 10 years?
Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction
49%
(22% - 70%)
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2021