Question

If nuclear conflict occurs by 2030, will it start in the period June-September?

4
11
Total Forecasters57
Community Prediction
32%
(26% - 35%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 32%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
MetaculusOutlookshavlickova.blanka
Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Sep 30, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2021
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks