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Question

If nuclear conflict occurs by 2030, will it start in the period June-September?

4
11
Total Forecasters56
Community Prediction31% (25% - 33%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 31%
median 31.0%mean 30.0%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
MetaculusOutlookshavlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Nuclear warfare
Nuclear winter
Environmental science

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