59 forecasters

If nuclear conflict occurs by 2030, will it start in the period June-September?

32%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

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Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Oct 28, 2021

Closes:

Sep 30, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 30, 2021

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Nuclear Technology & Risks

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