Question

If there are >100 nuclear detonations by 2050, will average global cereal yields be at least 5% lower in the following 5 years than in the previous 5 years?

Total Forecasters24
Community Prediction
84%
(80% - 90%)

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50%
community: 84%
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Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2021