Question

Will the New START nuclear arms control agreement be renewed until at least February 5, 2027?

4
3
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction
45%
(33% - 50%)

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50%
community: 45%
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Authors:
MetaculusOutlookshavlickova.blanka
Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Feb 4, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Feb 5, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2021
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks