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Question

If there's a nuclear conflict involving >1,000 detonations, will humanity be extinct within 50 years?

Total Forecasters56
Community Prediction4%

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50%
community: 4%
median 4.0%mean 12.6%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:

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