53 forecasters

Will a federal tax on unrealized capital gains in the United States be passed before February 1st 2023?

8%chance

8%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 8% chance, and it resolved No.

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Oct 29, 2021

Closes:

Feb 1, 2022

Resolved:

Feb 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 30, 2021

🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard

Calif.’s richest residents, like Mark Zuckerberg, could be slapped with a 5% ‘Billionaire Tax’ if unions get their way

New York Post•Oct 31, 2025

California's One Time Wealth Tax

Townhall•Oct 31, 2025

New California Tax Could Raise $100 Billion For Health Care

Newsweek•Oct 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?

Will California pass a wealth tax before the following years?

Will the U.S. tax code still allow carried interest to be taxed as a long-term capital gain on January 1, 2026?