Question

When will the five-year relative survival rate of pancreatic cancer patients in the US exceed 50%?

Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction
Jul 2039
(Sep 2033 - Aug 2048)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%Sep 2033
medianJul 2039
upper 75%Aug 2048
Upper bound
>21000.6%
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 4, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 6, 2021