🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many seats in the US House will Democrats control in 2018?

Resolved :235227
14
13
Total Forecasters101
Community Prediction227 (214 - 240)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
214.5
226.8
239.6

What was the final result?235

Community Baseline Score
57.8
Community Peer Score
12.0
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2018 Leaderboard
Presidency of Barack Obama
US House of Representatives
Louisiana
Democratic Party (US)
Republican Party (US)
2018 US House of Representatives elections

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