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UK "Plan B" measures announced before Feb


On 14 September 2021, UK Prime Minister Johnson outlined a "Plan B" to manage COVID if "a range of metrics and indicators mean the NHS is at risk of becoming overwhelmed."

According to Prime Minister Johnson, Plan B would include at least the following:

  • Introducing mandatory vaccine only Covid status certification in certain, riskier settings. (i.e., vaccine passport)
  • Legally mandating face coverings in certain settings, such as public transport and shops.
  • Communicating clearly and urgently to the public if the risk level increases.

Plan B might also include the UK Government asking people to work from home if they can do so.

Will implementation of “Plan B” be announced in the UK before 1 February 2022?

This will resolve positively if the UK Government announces, before 1 February 2022, that "Plan B" will be implemented in all of the UK.

For positive resolution, plan B would have to include at least the three measures mentioned in Johnson's 14 September plan: use of vaccine passports for high-risk settings, legally mandated use of face coverings in certain settings, and clear/urgent communication to the public.

Also see this question on whether "Plan C" measures will be announced.

Asking people to work from home, or other more severe measures, are not needed for positive resolution. Just the three outlined above are needed for positive resolution.

This resolves as the date implementation of "Plan B" is announced, not the date it goes into effect.

Note that many of the components of Plan B are already in effect in Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. For positive resolution, the three components of Plan B would have to be implemented in all of the UK, including England.

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