Question

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

33 comments33

Total Forecasters156

Community Prediction52%

Make a Prediction

community: 52%

median 52.0%mean 50.5%

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

19%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

66%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

Most Taiwanese believe China unlikely to invade in coming five years, poll shows

NBC•Oct 9, 2024

Poll: Most Taiwanese Would Fight Chinese Invasion, but Only Half Expect America to Help

Breitbart•Oct 11, 2024

China starts new round of war games near democratic Taiwan

Al Jazeera•Oct 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

19%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

66%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

80%