22 comments
72 forecasters
Will Robin Hanson win his bet against Matthew Barnett on whether ems will come before de novo AGI?
1.1%chance
The community sees this as a toss-up.
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 4, 2021
Closes:Oct 3, 2061
Scheduled resolution:Oct 3, 2121
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 5, 2021