Question

Quantum-enhanced machine learning by 2040?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters89

Community Prediction

53%

(30% - 70%)

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50%

community: 53%

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Authors:

isinlor

Opened:

Feb 3, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2039

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2039

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 5, 2022

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

After falling behind in generative AI, IBM and AMD look to quantum for an edge

TechCrunch•Aug 26, 2025

Another quantum computer reached quantum advantage – does it matter?

New Scientist•Aug 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will photonic tensor cores be ubiquitous in machine learning by 2030?

How many qubits will the best quantum processor have by the year 2050?

2.69M

Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?

25.5%

Authors:

isinlor

Opened:

Feb 3, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2039

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2039

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 5, 2022

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

After falling behind in generative AI, IBM and AMD look to quantum for an edge

TechCrunch•Aug 26, 2025

Another quantum computer reached quantum advantage – does it matter?

New Scientist•Aug 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will photonic tensor cores be ubiquitous in machine learning by 2030?

How many qubits will the best quantum processor have by the year 2050?

2.69M

Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?

25.5%