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Authors:
Opened:Feb 3, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2039
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 5, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will photonic tensor cores be ubiquitous in machine learning by 2030?
7% chance
97
How many qubits will the best quantum processor have by the year 2050?
2.69M qubits
(140k - 18.5M)
2.69M qubits
(140k - 18.5M)
6 forecasters
Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?
35.6% chance
18