Question

Quantum-enhanced machine learning by 2040?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters82

Community Prediction

62%

(39% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 62%

Authors:

isinlor

Opened:

Feb 3, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2039

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2039

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 5, 2022

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Quantum machine learning

UK cybersecurity agency warns over risk of quantum hackers

Guardian•Mar 20, 2025

Researchers say they’ve discovered a new method of ‘scaling up’ AI, but there’s reason to be skeptical

TechCrunch•Mar 19, 2025

A Team of Rivals and Co-pilots: Lessons From David Eagleman

Newsweek•Mar 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will photonic tensor cores be ubiquitous in machine learning by 2030?

13%

How many qubits will the best quantum processor have by the year 2050?

229k

Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?

25.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

isinlor

Opened:

Feb 3, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2039

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2039

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 5, 2022

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Quantum machine learning

UK cybersecurity agency warns over risk of quantum hackers

Guardian•Mar 20, 2025

Researchers say they’ve discovered a new method of ‘scaling up’ AI, but there’s reason to be skeptical

TechCrunch•Mar 19, 2025

A Team of Rivals and Co-pilots: Lessons From David Eagleman

Newsweek•Mar 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will photonic tensor cores be ubiquitous in machine learning by 2030?

13%

How many qubits will the best quantum processor have by the year 2050?

229k

Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?

25.5%