Question

Will Tigrayan-aligned forces seize the National Palace in Addis Ababa by military assault before June 1, 2022?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters85
Community Prediction
3%
(1% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
50.4
Community Peer Score
16.9
Authors:
Opened:Nov 8, 2021
Closes:Mar 18, 2022
Resolves:Jun 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 9, 2021