Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
11
34
forecasters
10
11 comments
34 forecasters
Geopolitics
1 more...
Will Tigrayan-aligned forces cut off the A1 trunk route (Addis Ababa to Djibouti) by year's end?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
No
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (11)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
14 comments
38 forecasters
1,000 deaths from Egypt/Ethiopia Conflict
38%
chance
1 comment
31 forecasters
Taiwan Undersea Cables Cut
2035
31%
2030
18%
5 comments
99 forecasters
China Engages in a Blockade Against Taiwan
2025
result:
No
2030
35%
2035
52%
16 comments
15 forecasters
Civil Wars End in These Countries
South Sudan
result:
08 Aug 2023 12:00 UTC
Syria
result:
08 Dec 2024 UTC
Yemen
result:
04 Oct 2024 12:00 UTC
Libya
18 Apr 2029
2 others
7 comments
746 forecasters
Sudan ceasefire in 2026?
23%
chance
6 comments
24 forecasters
Strait of Hormuz normalization date?
Current estimate
12 Oct 2026
14 comments
849 forecasters
China attacks/blockades Taiwan in 2026?
8%
chance
0 comments
8 forecasters
Will the People's Republic of China blockade Taiwan before September 1, 2026?
Current estimate
Revealed
tomorrow
%
chance