5 comments
41 forecasters
By 2024, will the next Nuclear Posture Review explicitly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans?
78%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 78% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 11, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolved:Oct 27, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 16, 2022