🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

By 2024, will the next Nuclear Posture Review explicitly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans?

Resolved :Yes78%
4
5
Total Forecasters56
Community Prediction78% (65% - 83%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 78%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-46.1
Community Peer Score
-5.9
Authors:
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Geopolitics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Nuclear Posture Review

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