Question
How many missile test events will North Korea conduct in 2022 and 2023?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters72
Community Prediction
>20
(>20 - >20)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | >20 | — |
median | >20 | — |
upper 75% | >20 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>20 | 77.9% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
34.5
Community Peer Score
34.8
Authors:
Opened:Nov 25, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Dec 31, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 27, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Nov 25, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Dec 31, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 27, 2022