Question

How many missile test events will North Korea conduct in 2022 and 2023?

Resolved:Above upper bound
Total Forecasters72
Community Prediction
>20
(>20 - >20)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%>20
median>20
upper 75%>20
Upper bound
>2077.9%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
34.5
Community Peer Score
34.8
Opened:Nov 25, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Dec 31, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 27, 2022