32 forecasters

Will a donor other than Carnegie or MacArthur make >$10m of nuclear risk related grants in 2022?

41%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 41% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 18, 2021

Closes:

Mar 21, 2022

Resolved:

Apr 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 13, 2021