95 forecasters

Will polygamy be legal nationwide in the US by 2050?

18%chance

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Jan 19, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 21, 2022

Is polygamy bad for society? Scientists think it could have benefits

Independent•Oct 24, 2025

Rethinking polygamy – new research upends conventional thinking about the advantages of monogamous marriage

The Conversation•Oct 21, 2025

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