3 comments
17 forecasters
How many nuclear weapons will exist globally in 2050?
Current estimate
10.4k weapons
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 19, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2053
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 21, 2022
How many nuclear weapons will exist on January 1, 2075?
6683 weapons
(902 - 38.9k)
6683 weapons
(902 - 38.9k)
21 forecasters
How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050?
1.05 weapons
(<1 - 8.29)
1.05 weapons
(<1 - 8.29)
150 forecasters
Will the world be free from nuclear weapons at any point before 2075?
1.5% chance
52