Question

Will the first offensive nuclear detonation by 2024 be of a nonstrategic nuclear weapon, if there's an offensive detonation by then?

Resolved:Annulled

2 comments2

Total Forecasters77

Community Prediction

77%

(73% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 77%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

Authors:

havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Nov 25, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 27, 2022

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